Warren Agent· WELL
Research Company← Research

WELLTOWER INC.

WELL· FY2025 10-K· Analyzed 6 days ago
PASS
Growth Rates — CAGR from SEC 10-K XBRL filings
Revenue
10.9%
FY2015–2025
Net Income
-8.4%
FY2008–2011
Free Cash Flow
—
EPS (Diluted)
-5.1%
FY2015–2025
Latest Metrics — SEC XBRL
Return on Equity
—
NI ÷ Equity
Return on Assets
—
NI ÷ Assets
Net Profit Margin
—
NI ÷ Revenue
Debt / Equity
0.46x
LT Debt ÷ Equity
Intrinsic Value Estimate — DCF (10% discount · 3% terminal · FCF growth capped 15%)
Total Business Value
$14.2B
Per Share (approx.)
$20.45
25% Margin of Safety
$15.34
Conservative entry
50% Margin of Safety
$10.23
Buffett's ideal entry
Growth Rate Used
3.0%
Latest FCF
$968.1M

Berkshire requires a 25–50% discount to intrinsic value before buying.

Buffett Quality Checklist
✗ROE >15% consistently (≥7 of last 10 years)
✗Free cash flow positive (≥8 of last 10 years)
✓Conservative leverage — Debt/Equity below 1
✓Revenue growing at CAGR >5%
✗EPS growing at CAGR >5%
10-Year Financial History — SEC EDGAR 10-K Filings
Year▲Revenue▲Net Income▲FCF▲Owner Earnings▲ROE▲Net Margin▲LT Debt▲Cash▲
2016$4.3B—————$11.7B$419.4M
2017$4.3B—————$11.0B$243.8M
2018$4.7B—————$12.2B$381.9M
2019$5.1B—————$13.4B$284.9M
2020$4.6B—————$2.4B$1.5B
2021$4.7B—————$13.9B$269.3M
2022$5.9B—————$14.7B$631.7M
2023$6.6B—————$15.7B$2.0B
2024$8.0B—————$15.5B$3.5B
2025$10.8B—————$19.2B$5.0B

WELLTOWER INC. (WELL)

Verdict: PASS

This company was marked as scanned because it failed the pre-analysis qualification gate.

Reason

fundamentals below threshold

Company failed all three quantitative pre-filter scorecards.

Scorecard

  • Buffett/Munger: 25/100
  • Peter Lynch: 32/100
  • Damodaran: 15/100
  • Top score: 32/100

Failed Checks

Buffett/Munger

  • FCF not consistently positive
  • ROE not consistently above 15%
  • Net margin not consistently above 10%

Peter Lynch

  • EPS CAGR -5.1% and Revenue CAGR 10.9% — no growth story
  • FCF not consistently positive — earnings quality concern

Damodaran

  • Insufficient data to compute ROIC
  • FCF not growing — weak DCF foundation

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (10-K only). For educational purposes — not investment advice.